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Phillies vs Braves FREE MLB Prediction, 6-15-2019



Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Saturday, June 15, 2019, 7:15 PM EST

Line: Braves -105, O/U 9

Handicapper: James Gunnar

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -115

The Atlanta Braves staged a 9th inning rally to beat their NL East rival Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, 9-8.  Atlanta scored 7 runs from the 7th inning on to complete a come from behind victory in Game 1 of this three-game series at SunTrust Park.  Atlanta moved into sole possession of 1st place in the NL East after the Phillies after played .500 ball their last 10 games while the Braves have heated up, winners in 23 of 32.  

Pitching Matchup: Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-1, 4.58 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (1-0, 2.59 ERA)

Phillies pitchers Aaron Nola recovered from a sluggish April in which he posted a 5.68 ERA to excel in May, going 4-0 with a 2.73 ERA in six starts while averaging 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings.  The Phillies ace will need a solid performance tonight to avoid handing the ball over too early to the bullpen which has been taxed this season. The Phillies are 4-0 in Nolas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game, 6-2 in Nolas last 8 starts and 21-8 in Nolas last 29 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Atlanta will welcome back LH Sean Newcomb to the rotation.  Newcomb walked eight hitters while posting a 4.38 ERA in three starts before being demoted to the minors, but he has seen a resurgence since returning as a reliever, walking only two with 21 strikeouts and a 1.42 ERA in 19 innings across 16 outings.  The Braves are 9-2 in Newcombs last 11 starts vs. National League East, 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter but just 5-11 in Newcombs last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

There is no question that while the Phillies led the NL East up until this point, the Braves have stormed back into contention in the National League.  The Phillies have some clear needs with their rotation but Aaron Nola is the right man to step onto the mound for a much needed win. The Phillies are 5-1 the last 6 meetings and look for Nola to provide a quality start for the win.


Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves: Philadelphia Phillies -115


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