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Eagles vs. Dolphins Free NFL Betting Pick, 12-1-2019


Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (2-9)

Sunday, December 1, 2019, 1:00 PM EST

Line: Dolphins +10, O/U 45

Handicapper: Vincent King

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -10


The Philadelphia Eagles look to pull into a tie for 1st place in the NFC East with a win on the road in Miami after the Cowboys loss on Thanksgiving day.  The Eagles are (5-6) on the year, coming off a 17-9 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. The Dolphins are (2-9), after falling 41-24 to the Cleveland Browns. 

Philadelphia heads to sunny Miami after suffering back-to-back losses to New England and Seattle at home.  The Eagles have underperformed in every aspect this season, mostly due to injuries which has decimated this team.  The Eagles are optimistic that Alshon Jeffrey, Lane Johnson, Brandon Brooks and Nelson Agholor will return to the lineup but TE Zach Ertz is questionable.  Despite the injuries and sub .500 record, the Eagles have the opportunity to grab a share of the NFC East lead with a win. One bright spot for this Philadelphia team has been their defense the past four weeks which has allowed no more than 17 points in each game.  The Eagles rushing defense allows 94 yards per game (5th) and 12th overall allowing 325.7 yards per game. If the Eagles are going to cover the -10 point spread they will need their defense to shut down this Miami offense which ranks near the bottom of the NFL.

Miami has played their best month of football in November going (2-2 SU) with wins over the Jets and the Colts.  While the Dolphins have only 2 wins on the season, they have a better record ATS (5-6) than the Eagles (4-7). The Dolphins have the NFL's 30th-ranked offense and 30th-ranked defense but they are 5-2 ATS their last 7 games.  QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has done his best to lead this team but when an aging journeyman quarterback leads the team with 45 rushing yards in a game vs. the Browns, it’s tough to sustain drives and score points. The Dolphins will face an Eagles defense that is playing their best football and is stingy vs. the run which will make this Dolphins offense one-dimensional.  Miami is averaging a woeful 63.2 rushing yards per game and that average will not improve on Sunday.  

The Dolphins have been overmatched in almost every game this season which explains the +10 point spread at home.  There is a case to be made for Miami considering their ATS record and playing at home. However, the Eagles remain in the Playoff hunt and this game provides the perfect opportunity to get back in the win column.  Warm weather and a long list of players returning to the lineup will give this team a boost with a renewed energy and outlook on the season. Look for the Eagles to win this game comfortably on the backs of their defense and cover the -10 point spread on the road.  

Eagles vs. Dolphins Free NFL Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -10

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