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Chargers vs Colts - NFL Pay Day

by: Peter Trell

San Diego Chargers (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U) at Indianapolis Colts (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, September 25, 2016 at 4:25 p.m. ET

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -2.5, Total: 51.5

Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are looking for their 1st win in the 2016 season but fortunately for this team, it is not unfamiliar territory.  In 2014, the Colts started the season 0-2 and ended up making the playoffs with an 11-5 record and won AFC South by two games.  Regardless of recent history, Indianapolis needs to figure out a way to stop opposing offenses as their defense has been one of the worst in the NFL.

Indianapolis' defense ranks 30 of 32 teams giving up over 424 YPG with just two sacks and have allowed opposing offenses to sustain drives and remain on the field for over 30 minutes per game. We fully expect the Colts defense to wear down half way through the season if these trends continue.  

San Diego let one slip away in week 1 vs the Chiefs losing in OT, 33-27.  They took out their frustrations by going on the road to whip up on Jacksonville, 38-14 and covering the -2 points spread.  Like Indianapolis, San Diego's achilles heal is their defense ranking 25th in the NFL allowing over 400 YPG.

San Diego is certainly depleted on offense, but quarterback Philip Rivers may be able to successfully captain the ship based on his recent play.  He has five touchdowns this season without throwing a single interception.  The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last six overall, 6-0 ATS in their last six against the AFC, 7-0 ATS in their last seven on the road, 4-0 ATS in their last four against losing opponents, and 4-0 ATS in their last four at the Colts.  The underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings between these two teams and the Chargers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.  I'm backing the Chargers at +2.5 and expect see this game be an offensive display by two great quarterbacks.  I trust the Chargers defense to make some key stops late in the game and keep this game within the point spread.  

Peter Trell's Chargers vs Colts Pick: Chargers +2.5 

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